Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.158678 0.185686 0.215389 0.250410 0.290499 0.334880 0.387657
2025-11-09 0.110692 0.146239 0.189658 0.246255 0.317698 0.404472 0.517384
2025-11-16 0.084335 0.122163 0.172154 0.242317 0.337379 0.460698 0.631594
2025-11-23 0.065490 0.102650 0.155151 0.233537 0.346121 0.500209 0.724835
2025-11-30 0.058074 0.097205 0.155625 0.247368 0.385484 0.582775 0.882128
2025-12-07 0.047478 0.084770 0.143524 0.240401 0.392956 0.619873 0.977369
2025-12-14 0.039067 0.074154 0.132307 0.232647 0.397350 0.651575 1.065993
2025-12-21 0.032782 0.065928 0.123537 0.227227 0.404059 0.686396 1.161115
2025-12-28 0.029123 0.061707 0.120803 0.231235 0.426022 0.746369 1.299704
2026-01-04 0.026608 0.059171 0.120593 0.239376 0.455400 0.820284 1.465960
2026-01-11 0.024042 0.056070 0.118849 0.244373 0.479491 0.886928 1.624722
2026-01-18 0.021515 0.052599 0.115874 0.246578 0.498517 0.946027 1.774542
2026-01-25 0.018937 0.048636 0.111513 0.245840 0.512483 0.998202 1.917906
2026-02-01 0.016412 0.044339 0.105886 0.241929 0.520083 1.039711 2.045901
2026-02-08 0.014261 0.040500 0.100644 0.238068 0.527193 1.080566 2.175293
2026-02-15 0.012083 0.036148 0.093601 0.229429 0.523664 1.100852 2.267693
2026-02-22 0.011641 0.036196 0.096607 0.243041 0.567070 1.214153 2.542910
2026-03-01 0.010018 0.032739 0.090827 0.236184 0.566612 1.241482 2.654782
2026-03-08 0.008582 0.029492 0.085050 0.228553 0.563581 1.263171 2.756725
2026-03-15 0.007454 0.026893 0.080499 0.223219 0.564978 1.293739 2.878067
2026-03-22 0.006866 0.025824 0.079781 0.227164 0.587691 1.370076 3.096923
2026-03-29 0.006493 0.025366 0.080646 0.235176 0.620498 1.469929 3.370261
2026-04-05 0.006033 0.024526 0.080327 0.240093 0.646405 1.556653 3.621374